Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
UncategorizedCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $13.3K24h Vol: $507.1K
71.7¢
YES
28.3¢
NO
97.3¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:2 trades100% 🐋100% YES0% NO
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving
Net Order Flow
Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$40.9K
VWAP vs Price
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.Current71.7¢
VWAP 24h90.1¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d91.9¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.
Top Holders · 30d
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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)
95¢
$38.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$12.6K
70¢
← now
$065¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Accumulation
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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d