Wallets whose first observed BUY in a market was followed by a move of at least 15 probability points in that outcome's direction after 24 hours. Ranking uses the Wilson confidence floor, so a small perfect sample cannot outrank a large reliable sample.
This is behavioural evidence, not an allegation of insider trading.
| # | Wallet | Confidence floor ↓ | Observed rate ↕ | Markets ↕ | Official all-time PnL ↕ | Tracked vol 30d ↕ | Last active ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UpTheBlues | 23% | 60%(3/5) | 5 | +$1.0M | $7.0M | 6 days ago |
| 2 | aenews2 | 16% | 43%(3/7) | 5 | +$2.2M | $328.6K | about 15 hours ago |