Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

UncategorizedCloses: 24 daysLiquidity: $43.3K24h Vol: $158.2K

98.5¢

YES

1.6¢

93.5¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

24h sample:2 trades100% 🐋100% YES0% NO

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$21.3K@ 95¢·0xa576…8678

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$0

6h+$0

24h+$34.6K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current98.5¢

VWAP 24h97.0¢▲ overbought

VWAP 7d97.0¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

← now

$34.6K

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VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

YES$21.3K@ 95.4¢0xa576…8678🐋+3.2%about 7 hours ago

YES$13.3K@ 99.6¢0xa576…8678🐋-1.2%about 11 hours ago