Event Groups

Related markets are grouped into one event ladder. Probability sums are informational until Polymarket outcome exhaustiveness and mutual exclusivity are verified.

Fed Decision in July?

5 markets · summed official 24h volume $3.8M · official metadata 5/5
Σp 99.1%
-0.9 pp · informational
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?73.4¢P70Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?24.6¢P0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.7¢P0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.4¢P0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.1¢P0

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

17 markets · summed official 24h volume $2.8M · official metadata 17/17
Σp 97.1%
-2.9 pp · informational
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?45.5¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?24.6¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?16.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?7.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?1.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?0.7¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?0.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?0.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?0.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?0.3¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?0.3¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?0.1¢P0

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3 markets · summed official 24h volume $2.8M · official metadata 3/3
Σp 100.0%
+0.0 pp · informational
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend100.0¢P0Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)0.1¢P0LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner0.1¢P0

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

3 markets · summed official 24h volume $1.5M · official metadata 3/3
Σp 0.1%
-99.9 pp · informational
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner0.1¢P0Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier0.1¢P0Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)0.1¢P0

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group D

3 markets · summed official 24h volume $1.3M · official metadata 3/3
Σp 132.5%
+32.5 pp · informational
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner100.0¢P0Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group D32.5¢P0Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner0.1¢P0

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

3 markets · summed official 24h volume $753.0K · official metadata 3/3
Σp 138.5%
+38.5 pp · informational
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)54.5¢P0San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.554.5¢P0San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves29.5¢P0

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

6 markets · summed official 24h volume $668.3K · official metadata 6/6
Σp 48.9%
-51.1 pp · informational
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?40.9¢P0Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?3.8¢P0Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1.6¢P0Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1.1¢P0Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.9¢P0Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.7¢P0

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $626.3K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 18.5%
-81.5 pp · informational
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega18.0¢P0Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner0.5¢P0

Presidential Election Winner 2028

4 markets · summed official 24h volume $577.9K · official metadata 4/4
Σp 1.3%
-98.7 pp · informational
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.7¢P0Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.3¢P0Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.3¢P0Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢P0

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

4 markets · summed official 24h volume $440.7K · official metadata 4/4
Σp 60.2%
-39.8 pp · informational
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?41.0¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?14.5¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?4.5¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?0.1¢P0

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $384.4K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 138.0%
+38.0 pp · informational
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?76.5¢P0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?61.5¢P0

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $339.9K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 116.5%
+16.5 pp · informational
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?74.0¢P0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?42.6¢P0

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $224.0K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 20.5%
-79.5 pp · informational
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?17.5¢P0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?3.0¢P0

Israel closes its airspace by...?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $200.8K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 37.5%
-62.5 pp · informational
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?31.0¢P0Israel closes its airspace by July 24?6.5¢P0

Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $191.1K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 23.2%
-76.8 pp · informational
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?22.5¢P0Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0.7¢P0