PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

● quote 4497 min ago
Sports→Closes: 3 monthsLiquidity: $1.4KOfficial 24h Vol: —
0.6¢
YES
99.4¢
NO
0.6¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 25%

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.6¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 25% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 4497 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
climax
Trading
Unknown
Deadline
2026-11-12 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
75.5¢$1.1Mpriority34Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
83.5¢$943.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$912.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$826.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
20.5¢$489.9Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
19.5¢$489.7Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.