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Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

● quote 12s ago
Sports→BaseballCloses: about 2 monthsLiquidity: $289.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $68.3KEvent: MLB: 2026 National League Champion
9.5¢
YES
90.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:19 trades$29.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 600 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $287 net·5 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$16.9K@ 76¢·omoi0i0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$29.5K

5 verified profitable wallets: NO · $287 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 600 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-12-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

•If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 89.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hNO · $24.8K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h23.7¢▼ below by 14.2pp
VWAP 7d33.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$6.5K
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$3.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$9.3K
20¢
$16.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
← now
$1.8K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$16.9K@ 75.7¢
omoi0i00xb3cf…0ebd
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

omoi0i0No$23.6K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.