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Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Finance→Closes: 6 monthsLiquidity: $2.7M24h Vol: $14.1M

93.8¢

YES

6.2¢

NO

99.9¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 2 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:287 trades1% 🐋100% YES0% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:YES 100%·15 wallets(2🐋)·$364.5K

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$296.4K@ 100¢·FedWillWin

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$19.6K

6h+$42.9K

24h+$365.2K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current93.8¢

VWAP 24h99.7¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d99.5¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$2.0M

90¢

← now

$518.7K

85¢

$0

80¢

$0

75¢

$0

70¢

$0

65¢

$0

60¢

$0

55¢

$0

50¢

$0

45¢

$0

40¢

$0

35¢

$0

30¢

$0

25¢

$0

20¢

$0

15¢

$0

10¢

$1

5¢

$27.4K

0¢

$12.9K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

YES$11.8K@ 99.9¢0x6eb5…8588🐋-6.1%1 day ago

YES$296.4K@ 99.8¢

FedWillWin0xfdc0…fa79

🐋-6.0%1 day ago

YES$22.2K@ 99.7¢

debased0x24c8…23e1

🐋-5.9%3 days ago

YES$49.8K@ 99.6¢

Valen90x162f…798d

🐋-5.8%7 days ago

YES$69.9K@ 99.6¢

Trump20280x2e0b…8070

🐋-5.8%9 days ago

YES$49.9K@ 99.8¢

weloi0x11a4…b1e2

🐋-6.0%9 days ago

YES$55.6K@ 99.7¢

weloi0x11a4…b1e2

🐋-5.9%9 days ago

YES$27.2K@ 99.6¢

THE-UMA-WHALE0x5bb0…814b

🐋-5.8%10 days ago

YES$10.2K@ 99.6¢

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e

🐋-5.8%10 days ago

YES$34.0K@ 99.6¢

Spas120x9c26…74bc

🐋-5.8%10 days ago

YES$27.7K@ 99.6¢

Official-Market-Maker0x94cf…3db3

🐋-5.8%10 days ago

YES$37.0K@ 99.6¢

Spas120x9c26…74bc

🐋-5.8%11 days ago

YES$11.4K@ 99.6¢

Trump20280x2e0b…8070

🐋-5.8%12 days ago

YES$11.0K@ 99.5¢

Trump20280x2e0b…8070

🐋-5.7%12 days ago

YES$127.9K@ 99.3¢

yameteV90x68fe…8792

🐋-5.5%12 days ago

YES$13.6K@ 99.0¢

thegreengem0xdcd6…84cd

🐋-5.3%13 days ago

YES$23.5K@ 98.7¢

Spas120x9c26…74bc

🐋-5.0%15 days ago

YES$14.7K@ 98.4¢

Karajan0x8e9e…38e4

🐋-4.7%15 days ago

YES$11.3K@ 98.5¢

Karajan0x8e9e…38e4

🐋-4.8%15 days ago

YES$19.2K@ 98.5¢0x93fb…3e4a🐋-4.8%15 days ago

YES$24.7K@ 98.8¢0x93fb…3e4a🐋-5.1%15 days ago

YES$11.1K@ 98.4¢

dumbfuq-p0Iycantchangepfp0x0a54…4a03

🐋-4.7%17 days ago

YES$20.9K@ 98.1¢

YatSen0x5bff…ffbe

🐋-4.4%18 days ago

YES$16.7K@ 98.4¢0x2785…70ae🐋-4.6%19 days ago

YES$13.5K@ 97.1¢0x20d9…5490🐋-3.4%19 days ago

YES$23.6K@ 93.5¢

Yeueu0x0344…2538

🐋+0.3%23 days ago

YES$15.3K@ 94.0¢

Yeueu0x0344…2538

🐋-0.2%24 days ago

YES$20.7K@ 94.0¢

Valen90x162f…798d

🐋-0.3%24 days ago

YES$18.8K@ 94.0¢

Valen90x162f…798d

🐋-0.2%24 days ago

YES$17.3K@ 94.1¢

Valen90x162f…798d

🐋-0.3%24 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d

FedWillWinYES$296.4K

Valen9YES$49.8K

cqsYES$10.0K

tsekinming01YES$3.5K

kgukfrtytYES$2.4K

letradooorYES$1.8K

shibagegeYES$357

sadffYES$56