Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

FinanceCloses: 11 daysLiquidity: $326.5K24h Vol: $14.8M
5.1¢
YES
94.8¢
NO
89.6¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 11 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:552 trades16% YES84% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 91%·29 wallets(3🐋)·$392.1K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$78.6K@ 93¢·Erasmus.

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$1.5K
6h+$1.2K
24h$69.0K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current5.1¢
VWAP 24h81.0¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d76.1¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$251.3K
90¢
$653.9K
85¢
$76.0K
80¢
$224.0K
75¢
$185.2K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$52.9K
60¢
$50.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$57.6K
30¢
$12.6K
25¢
$816
20¢
$108.2K
15¢
$71.3K
10¢
$136.3K
5¢
← now
$104.1K
0¢
$33.9K

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$36.6K@ 96.7¢0x8512…a3d2🐋-1.7%1 day ago
NO$10.0K@ 96.8¢0x8512…a3d2🐋-1.9%2 days ago
NO$16.7K@ 96.2¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋-1.2%2 days ago
NO$46.8K@ 96.3¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋-1.3%3 days ago
NO$10.5K@ 95.0¢0x264c…baca🐋+0.0%3 days ago
NO$44.3K@ 94.4¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋+0.6%3 days ago
NO$78.6K@ 93.3¢
Erasmus.0xc658…b784
🐋+1.8%3 days ago
NO$10.4K@ 93.0¢0xcb59…0a22🐋+2.2%3 days ago
NO$24.5K@ 93.8¢
GoriIIa0xfffa…864b
🐋+1.3%4 days ago
NO$20.7K@ 93.5¢0x30e4…5102🐋+1.6%4 days ago
NO$11.8K@ 93.6¢0xdcee…bda5🐋+1.5%4 days ago
NO$10.1K@ 91.2¢
foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991
🐋+4.2%4 days ago
NO$31.5K@ 90.2¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋+5.3%4 days ago
NO$33.4K@ 83.5¢
foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991
🐋+13.8%4 days ago
NO$69.8K@ 82.9¢
Erasmus.0xc658…b784
🐋+14.7%4 days ago
NO$10.9K@ 68.3¢0x4e56…dee1🐋+39.1%4 days ago
NO$10.8K@ 65.9¢
foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991
🐋+44.1%4 days ago
NO$19.8K@ 63.8¢
foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991
🐋+49.0%5 days ago
NO$18.8K@ 80.4¢0xfb57…0a46🐋+18.2%5 days ago
NO$10.3K@ 79.6¢0x0aae…251c🐋+19.3%6 days ago
NO$14.4K@ 78.7¢0xcbc5…e175🐋+20.7%7 days ago
NO$14.4K@ 84.6¢0x30e4…5102🐋+12.3%8 days ago
NO$12.3K@ 85.5¢
sorcerer.000xeb6f…25f0
🐋+11.2%8 days ago
NO$11.0K@ 80.1¢
Karajan0x8e9e…38e4
🐋+18.6%9 days ago
NO$15.6K@ 79.6¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋+19.3%9 days ago
NO$15.7K@ 78.4¢0x30e4…5102🐋+21.1%9 days ago
YES$14.7K@ 22.0¢0xf4ba…5933🐋-77.3%9 days ago
NO$25.7K@ 76.6¢
foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991
🐋+23.9%10 days ago
YES$25.0K@ 12.5¢
TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699
🐋-60.0%12 days ago
NO$10.1K@ 90.4¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋+5.1%12 days ago
NO$35.5K@ 92.0¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋+3.3%15 days ago
NO$38.3K@ 91.1¢
HH1680x0704…1858
🐋+4.3%15 days ago
NO$63.7K@ 91.0¢
wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1
🐋+4.4%15 days ago
NO$23.2K@ 90.6¢
XAEA12Archangel0xfbfd…0029
🐋+4.9%15 days ago
NO$39.8K@ 90.4¢
HH1680x0704…1858
🐋+5.1%15 days ago
NO$27.5K@ 90.3¢0xfb57…0a46🐋+5.2%16 days ago
YES$25.7K@ 11.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋-57.9%16 days ago
YES$12.5K@ 12.6¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋-60.3%16 days ago
YES$15.3K@ 14.2¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋-64.9%16 days ago