Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Politics→Closes: 26 daysLiquidity: $76.5K24h Vol: $289.5K

9.4¢

YES

90.6¢

92.6¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$28.2K@ 95¢·aenews2

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$0

6h+$0

24h+$0

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$26.6K

90¢

$43.6K

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢