🏛️Politics

386 active markets · data as of about 2 hours ago

Official 24h vol
$11.8M
Official markets
360/386
Observed sample
$1.3M
Sample / official
10.7%
Signed flow
NO $270.5K
Known action
100%
Data confidence
37%
Categories use audited Gamma event metadata with legacy fallback. Multi-category markets can appear in more than one category, so category totals are not additive. Flow is a signed YES-equivalent sample of observed trades with known BUY/SELL action. Observed wallet-market pairs: 2283; observed trades: 4869.
Markets · official 24h volumeOpen screener →
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?12.5¢ / 87.5¢
Activity 0Data 72%Priority 0FLAT
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?7.5¢ / 92.5¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?3.0¢ / 97.0¢
Activity 63Data 55%Priority 0YES
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?34.65¢ / 65.35¢
Activity 0Data 58%Priority 0FLAT
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.35¢ / 98.65¢
Activity 10Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?3.6¢ / 96.4¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?13.25¢ / 86.75¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?2.05¢ / 97.95¢
Activity 5Data 65%Priority 0FLAT
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?19.5¢ / 80.5¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?1.45¢ / 98.55¢
Activity 19Data 99%Priority 0YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?0.15¢ / 99.85¢
Activity 1Data 65%Priority 0FLAT
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?4.5¢ / 95.5¢
Activity 1Data 69%Priority 0FLAT
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?2.15¢ / 97.85¢
Activity 0Data 54%Priority 0FLAT
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?34.7¢ / 65.3¢
Activity 0Data 63%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?13.5¢ / 86.5¢
Activity 0Data 60%Priority 0FLAT
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?3.25¢ / 96.75¢
Activity 0Data 58%Priority 0FLAT
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢ / 99.1¢
Activity 100Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2027?39.0¢ / 61.0¢
Activity 0Data 64%Priority 0FLAT
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Shawn Fain win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.35¢ / 99.65¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?65.5¢ / 34.5¢
Activity 0Data 57%Priority 0FLAT
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.25¢ / 99.75¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 316.0¢ / 94.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?18.5¢ / 81.5¢
Activity 0Data 57%Priority 0FLAT
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?15.95¢ / 84.05¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?35.5¢ / 64.5¢
Activity 0Data 64%Priority 0FLAT
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?4.05¢ / 95.95¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2.85¢ / 97.15¢
Activity 100Data 51%Priority 0YES
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?62.0¢ / 38.0¢
Activity 0Data 63%Priority 0FLAT
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.7¢ / 97.3¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?1.65¢ / 98.35¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Large observed trades · $10k+Full tape →
BUYNO$69.4KWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?about 4 hours ago
BUYNO$37.3KWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?about 4 hours ago
BUYNO$12.7KWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?about 4 hours ago
BUYNO$12.5KWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?about 4 hours ago
BUYNO$10.1KWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?about 12 hours ago
SELLNO$10.1KWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?about 12 hours ago