🏛️Politics

421 active markets · data as of about 1 hour ago

Official 24h vol
$36.8M
Official markets
333/421
Observed sample
$1.6M
Sample / official
4.3%
Signed flow
NO $104.0K
Known action
100%
Data confidence
37%
Categories use audited Gamma event metadata with legacy fallback. Multi-category markets can appear in more than one category, so category totals are not additive. Flow is a signed YES-equivalent sample of observed trades with known BUY/SELL action. Observed wallet-market pairs: 2472; observed trades: 4098.
Markets · official 24h volumeOpen screener →
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.3¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?86.5¢ / 13.5¢
Activity 14Data 85%Priority 40YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.4¢ / 99.6¢
Activity 8Data 67%Priority 0YES
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?3.3¢ / 96.8¢
Activity 100Data 65%Priority 0NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?3.5¢ / 96.5¢
Activity 0Data 68%Priority 0FLAT
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15.5¢ / 84.5¢
Activity 1Data 76%Priority 0NO
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Iran leadership change by September 30?0.5¢ / 99.5¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?0.9¢ / 99.1¢
Activity 0Data 74%Priority 0FLAT
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?0.4¢ / 99.6¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?15.3¢ / 84.8¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.9¢ / 99.2¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.3¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?20.5¢ / 79.5¢
Activity 0Data 78%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?3.4¢ / 96.6¢
Activity 24Data 74%Priority 0NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House7.5¢ / 92.5¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.8¢ / 97.2¢
Activity 81Data 65%Priority 0FLAT
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4¢ / 99.7¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?57.9¢ / 42.1¢
Activity 0Data 62%Priority 0FLAT
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.1¢ / 87.0¢
Activity 52Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4¢ / 99.6¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Large observed trades · $10k+Full tape →
SELLYES$21.0KWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?about 6 hours ago
BUYYES$10.7K2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Houseabout 12 hours ago
SELLYES$10.6K2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Houseabout 13 hours ago
SELLNO$10.8KWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?about 13 hours ago