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Bears vs. Bengals

Sports→Settlement: BengalsLiquidity: $315.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $146.2KEvent: Bears vs. Bengals
0.0¢
Bears payout
100.0¢
Bengals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:25 trades$24.3K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1262 min agoofficial metadata 81 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bengals · $4.8K net·2 wallets·$6.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBears$5.6K@ 56¢·PetsViljandist

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Bengals. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears".

•If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 22 at 7:00PM ET: If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 20h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Bengals DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $50.6K → $19.4K · 83s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bears; negative values favor Bengals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBears · $3.6K
6hBengals · $14.3K
24hBengals · $7.3K

Bears price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bears price. Bengals fills are converted to the complementary Bears probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.6¢▼ below by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d32.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bears price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$8.2K
55¢
$11.8K
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$7
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$3
5¢
$9.4K
0¢
← now
$11.5K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.