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Saints vs. Cowboys

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $24.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $63.7KEvent: Saints vs. Cowboys
45.0¢
Saints
55.0¢
Cowboys
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution71Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:13 trades$27.2K trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 321 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCowboys$5.4K@ 54¢·Winnnnnnning

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5
tracked
$27.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 321 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints".

•If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 8:00PM ET: If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Saints@ 46.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Saints; negative values favor Cowboys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSaints · $0
6hSaints · $5
24hSaints · $7.7K

Saints price VWAP

Volume-weighted Saints price. Cowboys fills are converted to the complementary Saints probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.0¢
VWAP 24h46.0¢▼ below by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d46.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Saints price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$27.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PainfulvoidSaints$17.5K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.