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LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 48 min ago
Sports→Closes: 44 minutesLiquidity: $443.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $903.7KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets45Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:122 trades$102.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 49 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $12.9K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$28.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$22.0K@ 99¢·0xe16e…bd58

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$15.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.3K
6h
−$39.6K
tracked
$102.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$12.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 48 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 49 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $25.2K gross
esportGG2 linked markets · $16.1K gross
0x9348…66642 linked markets · $9.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$15.3K
6h−$39.6K
24h−$39.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h14.7¢▼ below by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d14.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$6.2K
30¢
$33.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$31
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$21.7K
0¢
← now
$39.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$22.0K@ 99.0¢0xe16e…bd58🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$21.6K@ 95.0¢
retroactivesource0x85d5…45ee
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$10.9K@ 65.6¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16e…bd58Hanwha Life Esports$22.0K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
retroactivesourceHanwha Life Esports$21.6K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·1 fill
SineNooneEIHanwha Life Esports$10.9K
BUY VWAP 65.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.