Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Andres Martin
● quote 129 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $416.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $691.8KEvent: Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Andres Martin
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection82Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 2 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$28.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 97%
tape 141 min agoofficial metadata 130 min ago
Verified directional wallets · 7d:NO $240·2 wallets·$315 gross
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
YES pressure: +$22.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
1h
+$22.2K
6h
+$23.9K
tracked
$28.1K
2 verified profitable wallets: −$240 YES-equivalent over 7d.
Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 64% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Executable quote is 129 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 141 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 130 minutes old.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h+$22.2K
6h+$23.9K
24h+$23.9K
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h4.5¢▼ below by 3.5pp
VWAP 7d4.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$369
50¢
$94
45¢
$190
40¢
$0
35¢
$5
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$150
20¢
$297
15¢
$775
10¢
$151
5¢
$11
0¢
← now
$23.2KVPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
Verified directional wallets · 7d