LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner

● quote 35 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $443.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $292.9KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%
24h sample:62 trades$16.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 95%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster Challengers (YES)$10.4K@ 52¢·Zywoo123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.8K
6h
+$12.4K
tracked
$16.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 35 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 43 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 40 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-28 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster Challengers and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for July 28 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win Game 1 against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win Game 1 against KT Rolster Challengers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0x904e…0bec2 linked markets · $420 gross
0x629d…756c3 linked markets · $217 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $220$9.0K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.8K
6h+$12.4K
24h+$12.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h46.6¢▼ below by 46.6pp
VWAP 7d46.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$204
55¢
$3
50¢
$10.4K
45¢
$65
40¢
$1.7K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$1.0K
25¢
$110
20¢
$389
15¢
$84
10¢
$7
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$275

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYKT Rolster Challengers (YES)$10.4K@ 52.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Zywoo123KT Rolster Challengers$10.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.