Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcan
● quote 53 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $252.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $590.4KEvent: Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcan
99.9¢
YES
0.4¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%
24h sample:38 trades$37.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 99%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 56 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
−$818
6h
+$35.0K
tracked
$37.4K
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 66% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Executable quote is 53 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 72 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 56 minutes old.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h−$818
6h+$35.0K
24h+$35.0K
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h85.6¢▲ above by 14.3pp
VWAP 7d85.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
← now
$78690¢
$130
85¢
$36.0K
80¢
$13
75¢
$85
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now