PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smith

● quote 87 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $539.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $274.6KEvent: Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smith
10.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection60Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 45%💡 1 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:190 trades$6.6K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 89%
tape 117 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPaul Inchauspe (YES)$1.8K@ 40¢·0x1dbf…1a6b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$3.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.5K
6h
+$3.0K
tracked
$6.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$22 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 45% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 87 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 117 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 85 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Inchauspe and Keegan Smith in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Inchauspe' if Paul Inchauspe advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Paul Inchauspe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $0 → $208 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$3.5K
6h+$3.0K
24h+$3.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.0¢
VWAP 24h32.8¢▼ below by 22.8pp
VWAP 7d32.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$17
65¢
$119
60¢
$422
55¢
$25
50¢
$247
45¢
$580
40¢
$2.2K
35¢
$324
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$586
15¢
$7
10¢
← now
$20
5¢
$0
0¢
$1.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity
Verified directional wallets · 7d
swisstonyYES+$22 signed