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Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Monday

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $393.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $310.7KEvent: Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Monday
80.5¢
Shintaro Mochizuki payout
19.5¢
Johannus Monday payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-31 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Johannus Monday in the Winnipeg, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Johannus Monday. This market will resolve to 'Johannus Monday' if Johannus Monday advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 30d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 30d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Shintaro Mochizuki; negative values favor Johannus Monday. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShintaro Mochizuki · $0
6hJohannus Monday · $13.4K
24hJohannus Monday · $13.4K

Shintaro Mochizuki price VWAP

Volume-weighted Shintaro Mochizuki price. Johannus Monday fills are converted to the complementary Shintaro Mochizuki probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current80.5¢
VWAP 24h77.1¢▲ above by 3.4pp
VWAP 7d77.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJohannus Monday$14.0K@ 23.0¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—about 1 month ago