LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

● quote 38 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $772.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $658.9KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

100.0¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection61Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:9 trades$61.6K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 61 min agoofficial metadata 39 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming (YES)$28.3K@ 99¢·0x9e3e…f882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$37.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$37.4K

−$61.6K

tracked

$61.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$24.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 38 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 61 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 39 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-01 13:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $39.7K gross

0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $102 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$37.4K

6h−$61.6K

24h−$61.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current100.0¢

VWAP 24h72.2¢▲ above by 27.7pp

VWAP 7d72.2¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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$29.8K

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