LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 39 min ago
SportsCloses: 40 minutesLiquidity: $75.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $639.9KEvent: LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly15Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:70 trades$130.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 42 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$12.6K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$13.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLInvictus Gaming (NO)$56.0K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$597
6h
+$12.6K
tracked
$130.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$12.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 39 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 67 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 42 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LNG Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against LNG Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x292f…7fc22 linked markets · $10.6K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $3.2K gross
0x3308…f04b2 linked markets · $3.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$597
6h+$12.6K
24h+$12.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h4.0¢▼ below by 3.9pp
VWAP 7d4.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$288
20¢
$14.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$26.1K
0¢
← now
$89.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming (NO)$56.0K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming (NO)$23.8K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming (NO)$10.6K@ 94.9¢0x292f…7fc2🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming (NO)$14.7K@ 95.0¢0x3ebd…b66a🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYLNG Esports (YES)$12.9K@ 24.9¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
19.5¢$509.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
33.5¢$1.8Mpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
0.1¢$707.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
34.5¢$700.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$579.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaInvictus Gaming$23.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x3ebd…b66aInvictus Gaming$20.3K
BUY VWAP 95.8¢·2 fills
esportGGLNG Esports$12.9K
BUY VWAP 24.9¢·1 fill
0x292f…7fc2Invictus Gaming$10.6K
BUY VWAP 94.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.