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Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch

● quote 76 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $266.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $419.9KEvent: Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection42Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:64 trades$48.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 98%
tape 104 min agoofficial metadata 79 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTamara Korpatsch (NO)$22.9K@ 97¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$19.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.9K
6h
−$379
tracked
$48.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$22.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +74.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 76 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 104 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 79 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mayar Sherif and Tamara Korpatsch in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mayar Sherif' if Mayar Sherif advances against Tamara Korpatsch. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Korpatsch' if Tamara Korpatsch advances against Mayar Sherif. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mayar Sherif@ 26.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$19.9K
6h−$379
24h−$379

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h28.3¢▼ below by 28.2pp
VWAP 7d28.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$20.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$353
35¢
$0
30¢
$19
25¢
$8
20¢
$865
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$243
0¢
← now
$25.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTamara Korpatsch (NO)$22.9K@ 96.6¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMayar Sherif (YES)$20.0K@ 61.3¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Tamara Korpatsch$22.9K
BUY VWAP 96.6¢·1 fill
AV23IUaMayar Sherif$20.0K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.