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Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $213.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
38.5¢
Alexander Blockx payout
61.5¢
Luciano Darderi payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-01 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Luciano Darderi in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Alexander Blockx. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 31d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 31d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Luciano Darderi@ 79.0¢32d ago
15m INVALIDATED -37.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.3pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Luciano Darderi32d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Luciano Darderi@ 63.0¢32d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Blockx; negative values favor Luciano Darderi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Blockx · $2.3K
6hLuciano Darderi · $39.0K
24hLuciano Darderi · $39.0K

Alexander Blockx price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Blockx price. Luciano Darderi fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Blockx probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h39.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d39.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLuciano Darderi$40.7K@ 62.8¢0xc430…1ebf🐋—about 1 month ago