LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

● quote 49 min ago
SportsCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $138.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $144.8KEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
76.0¢
YES
24.0¢
NO
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection52Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%
24h sample:20 trades$483 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 94%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$235
6h
+$208
tracked
$483

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
  • Executable quote is 49 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 55 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 50 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-27 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Dplus KIA in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 27 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against HANJIN BRION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.1K$1.6K · 8s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$235
6h+$208
24h+$208

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.0¢
VWAP 24h65.7¢▲ above by 10.3pp
VWAP 7d65.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$9
70¢
$168
65¢
$113
60¢
$102
55¢
$2
50¢
$58
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
0.1¢$698.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
4.5¢$448.3Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
13.5¢$243.8Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A
50.5¢$156.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.3¢$153.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
8.5¢$150.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
19.5¢$133.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4.0¢$127.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.