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Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning

● quote 42 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $62.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $822.9KEvent: Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 39%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:127 trades$24.3K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 76%
tape 102 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartin Krumich (YES)$5.7K@ 83¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$17.4K
tracked
$24.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$2 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 39% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 76% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 42 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 102 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-03 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Krumich and Philip Henning in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Philip Henning. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Martin Krumich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $15.5K → $19.6K · 23s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$17.4K
24h+$17.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.0¢▲ above by 15.0pp
VWAP 7d85.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$161
80¢
$14.8K
75¢
$40
70¢
$90
65¢
$39
60¢
$15
55¢
$2
50¢
$0
45¢
$27
40¢
$67
35¢
$0
30¢
$122
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Martin Krumich$10.6K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.