Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger

● quote 55 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $357.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $523.8KEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets30Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$41.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 99%
tape 64 min agoofficial metadata 57 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaria Snigur (YES)$15.0K@ 60¢·0x26b4…b8a9

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$12.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$12.1K
6h
+$22.3K
tracked
$41.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$12.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -59.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 55 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 64 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 57 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Lilli Tagger in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Lilli Tagger. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Daria Snigur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Daria Snigur@ 60.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $19.5K$5.9K · 11s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$12.1K
6h+$22.3K
24h+$22.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▼ below by 40.7pp
VWAP 7d40.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$921
70¢
$329
65¢
$192
60¢
$15.6K
55¢
$4.9K
50¢
$22
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDaria Snigur (YES)$15.0K@ 60.2¢0x26b4…b8a9🐋about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x26b4…b8a9Daria Snigur$15.0K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.