The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnson

● quote 121 min ago
ScienceCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $149.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $156.6KEvent: The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnson
82.5¢
YES
17.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 49%
24h sample:63 trades$3.6K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 67%
tape 128 min agoofficial metadata 123 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$519
6h
−$430
tracked
$3.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 49% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • BUY/SELL is known for 67% of tracked volume.
  • Executable quote is 121 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 128 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 123 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Storm Hunter and Sofia Johnson in the The Memphis Classic, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Storm Hunter' if Storm Hunter advances against Sofia Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Johnson' if Sofia Johnson advances against Storm Hunter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $43.0K$36.3K · 11s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$519
6h$430
24h$344

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current82.5¢
VWAP 24h65.3¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d65.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$1
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$87
60¢
$480
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$48
40¢
$59
35¢
$186
30¢
$39
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity