Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

● quote 57 min ago
SportsCloses: 1 minuteLiquidity: $189.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $165.3KEvent: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$29.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 156 min agoofficial metadata 58 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBBL Esports (YES)$27.0K@ 76¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$27.8K
tracked
$29.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$27.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 57 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 156 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 58 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win Map 1 against Gentle Mates. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 1 against BBL Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x86df…d9022 linked markets · $519 gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $64 gross
0x8608…56ba2 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BBL Esports@ 58.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $8.1K$1.6K · 17s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$27.8K
24h+$27.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h72.7¢▼ below by 71.7pp
VWAP 7d72.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$27.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$241
55¢
$558
50¢
$91
45¢
$249
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$131
20¢
$0
15¢
$10
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$901

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBBL Esports (YES)$27.0K@ 76.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563BBL Esports$27.0K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.