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Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Matyas Cerny

● quote 23651 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 10 daysLiquidity: $179.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.5KEvent: Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Matyas Cerny
99.9¢
YES
2.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly37Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNorbert Gombos (YES)$17.6K@ 90¢·one8tyfive

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$8
6h
+$18.9K
tracked
$19.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 18 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 23651 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 23678 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-04 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Matyas Cerny in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Matyas Cerny. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Cerny' if Matyas Cerny advances against Norbert Gombos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Norbert Gombos16d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Norbert Gombos@ 60.0¢16d ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$8
6h+$18.9K
24h+$18.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h89.1¢▲ above by 10.8pp
VWAP 7d89.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$171
90¢
$17.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$6
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$37
65¢
$17
60¢
$5
55¢
$3
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNorbert Gombos (YES)$17.6K@ 90.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—17 days ago