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Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Sports→Settlement: Phoenix MercuryLiquidity: $239.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $266.4KEvent: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
100.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
0.0¢
Los Angeles Sparks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Sparks$5.7K@ 54¢·0x5d9b…a5eb

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Phoenix Mercury. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-12 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

•If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 10:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Phoenix Mercury; negative values favor Los Angeles Sparks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLos Angeles Sparks · $2.2K
6hLos Angeles Sparks · $6.9K
24hLos Angeles Sparks · $1.6K

Phoenix Mercury price VWAP

Volume-weighted Phoenix Mercury price. Los Angeles Sparks fills are converted to the complementary Phoenix Mercury probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h56.7¢▲ above by 43.3pp
VWAP 7d56.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Phoenix Mercury price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.7K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$826
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$13
55¢
$5
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$40.4K
40¢
$6.1K
35¢
$116
30¢
$215
25¢
$5
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.