Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

● quote 11 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $518.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $572.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:64 trades$38.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 85%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTheMongolz (NO)$25.5K@ 47¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$4.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.7K
6h
−$22.0K
tracked
$38.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$25.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +52.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 11 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FaZe and TheMongolz in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 2 against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against FaZe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $36.2K gross
0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $13.0K gross
0x6e2c…787c2 linked markets · $2.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY TheMongolz2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY TheMongolz2h ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY TheMongolz@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +38.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY TheMongolz@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +38.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $26.4K$1.2K · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$4.7K
6h$22.0K
24h$22.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h44.1¢▼ below by 44.0pp
VWAP 7d44.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$520
50¢
$25.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$6
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$79
20¢
$0
15¢
$28
10¢
$113
5¢
$59
0¢
← now
$4.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTheMongolz (NO)$25.5K@ 47.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGTheMongolz$25.5K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.