LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

● quote 80 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection44Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:192 trades$75.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 91 min agoofficial metadata 82 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $20.4K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$20.4K@ 69¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$33.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.5K
6h
−$60.0K
tracked
$75.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$20.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -67.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 80 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 91 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 82 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 19:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 1 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $34.0K gross
0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $2.4K gross
0xa520…6eef2 linked markets · $1.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Anyones Legend2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Anyones Legend@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $140$312 · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$33.5K
6h$60.0K
24h$60.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.2¢▲ above by 46.7pp
VWAP 7d53.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$24.3K
25¢
$7.8K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$241
10¢
$4.4K
5¢
$4.5K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$20.4K@ 69.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGAnyones Legend$20.4K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.