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Vancouver: Mark Lajal vs Braden Shick

UncategorizedCloses: 17 daysLiquidity: $580.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $590.3KEvent: Vancouver: Mark Lajal vs Braden Shick
99.9¢
Mark Lajal
0.1¢
Braden Shick
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMark Lajal$50.0K@ 84¢·0x7d6d…2654

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-06 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Braden Shick in the Vancouver, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Braden Shick. This market will resolve to 'Braden Shick' if Braden Shick advances against Mark Lajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Mark Lajal24d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Mark Lajal24d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Mark Lajal@ 90.0¢24d ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mark Lajal@ 90.0¢24d ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mark Lajal; negative values favor Braden Shick. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBraden Shick · $252
6hMark Lajal · $65.2K
24hMark Lajal · $65.2K

Mark Lajal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mark Lajal price. Braden Shick fills are converted to the complementary Mark Lajal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h82.5¢▲ above by 17.4pp
VWAP 7d82.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mark Lajal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$573
90¢
$1
85¢
$284
80¢
$163.9K
75¢
$15.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMark Lajal$22.0K@ 84.0¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—24 days ago
BUYMark Lajal$50.0K@ 83.7¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—24 days ago
BUYMark Lajal$50.0K@ 83.9¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—24 days ago
BUYBraden Shick$15.3K@ 23.8¢0xe907…cff6🐋—24 days ago
BUYBraden Shick$41.6K@ 19.5¢0xe907…cff6🐋—24 days ago