New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

● quote 48 min ago
SportsCloses: 27 minutesLiquidity: $209.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.8KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
37.5¢
YES
62.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:1 trades$18.1K tracked100% 🐋source coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 349 min agoofficial metadata 49 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder (NO)$18.1K@ 61¢·0xfd67…ef90

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$18.1K
tracked
$18.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 48 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 349 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 49 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 31 at 2:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $24.8K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $125 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 63.0¢58m ago
Outcome checks pending
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$18.1K
24h$18.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h39.0¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d39.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$18.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYUnder (NO)$18.1K@ 61.0¢0xfd67…ef90🐋about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
43.5¢$141.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
40.5¢$140.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
55.5¢$74.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
65.0¢$946.1Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$527.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage
100.0¢$524.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$350.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xfd67…ef90Under$18.1K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.