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Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $243.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $314.2KEvent: Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti
62.5¢
YES
37.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:131 trades$10.1K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 91%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$640·4 wallets·$1.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSara Sorribes Tormo (YES)$3.3K@ 55¢·0x2f93…eb20

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$465
6h
+$2.7K
tracked
$10.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$640 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-07 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Lucia Bronzetti in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Lucia Bronzetti. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Bronzetti' if Lucia Bronzetti advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $32 → $449 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$465
6h+$2.7K
24h+$2.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current62.5¢
VWAP 24h52.8¢▲ above by 9.7pp
VWAP 7d52.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$71
80¢
$39
75¢
$63
70¢
$514
65¢
$642
60¢
← now
$0
55¢
$4.2K
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
$304
40¢
$213
35¢
$213
30¢
$14
25¢
$202
20¢
$34
15¢
$9
10¢
$509
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity