LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 81 min ago
SportsCloses: 44 minutesLiquidity: $443.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.5KEvent: LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$26.6K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 105 min agoofficial metadata 84 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLT1 Academy (YES)$14.3K@ 100¢·0xf9d6…730a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$4.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.1K
6h
−$4.1K
tracked
$26.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$11.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 81 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 105 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 84 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-04 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 Academy and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 4 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 2 against KT Rolster Challengers. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win Game 2 against T1 Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xddb6…b9b32 linked markets · $364 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$4.1K
6h$4.1K
24h$4.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h99.5¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d99.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$26.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLT1 Academy (YES)$14.3K@ 99.9¢0xf9d6…730a🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYT1 Academy (YES)$11.3K@ 99.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.T1 Academy$11.3K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.