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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $1.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova
54.5¢
Diana Shnaider payout
45.5¢
Liudmila Samsonova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiudmila Samsonova$25.0K@ 52¢·0x7d6d…2654

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-07 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Liudmila Samsonova in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Diana Shnaider. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 23d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 23d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 44.0¢23d ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 44.0¢23d ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diana Shnaider; negative values favor Liudmila Samsonova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $3.5K
6hLiudmila Samsonova · $88.8K
24hLiudmila Samsonova · $88.8K

Diana Shnaider price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diana Shnaider price. Liudmila Samsonova fills are converted to the complementary Diana Shnaider probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h64.0¢▼ below by 9.5pp
VWAP 7d64.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diana Shnaider price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$3.9K
90¢
$8.3K
85¢
$11.8K
80¢
$17.0K
75¢
$37
70¢
$888
65¢
$118
60¢
$0
55¢
$379
50¢
← now
$41.4K
45¢
$25.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$13.3K@ 20.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—23 days ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$25.0K@ 51.6¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—23 days ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$15.0K@ 49.7¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—23 days ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$12.0K@ 49.0¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—23 days ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$13.9K@ 48.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—23 days ago