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Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $228.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.4KEvent: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty
4.5¢
YES
95.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:26 trades$42.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Liberty (NO)$15.6K@ 77¢·0x2ab1…1975

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$3.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.4K
6h
−$29.1K
tracked
$42.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$2.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 19.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Liberty@ 77.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.8K → $3.6K · 15s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$3.4K
6h−$29.1K
24h−$31.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.5¢
VWAP 24h22.0¢▼ below by 17.5pp
VWAP 7d22.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$26
25¢
$20
20¢
$39.4K
15¢
$3.5K
10¢
$5
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNew York Liberty (NO)$15.6K@ 77.0¢0x2ab1…1975🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2ab1…1975New York Liberty$15.6K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
KevinEasyMoney27New York Liberty$12.1K
BUY VWAP 80.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.