Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

● quote 46 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $245.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $192.0KEvent: Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$35.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 47 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $31.4K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$32.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKRÜ Esports (NO)$32.0K@ 60¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$495
6h
−$32.7K
tracked
$35.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$31.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -28.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 46 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 55 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 47 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-03 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between Cloud9 and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 2 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against KRÜ Esports. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY KRÜ Esports@ 29.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $722$2.0K · 23s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$495
6h$32.7K
24h$32.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h43.3¢▲ above by 56.6pp
VWAP 7d43.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$663
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$12
75¢
$772
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$62
60¢
$238
55¢
$20
50¢
$5
45¢
$0
40¢
$32.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYKRÜ Esports (NO)$32.0K@ 59.9¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$124.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$110.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
38.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
38.5¢$957.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$842.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
9.5¢$684.0Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
100.0¢$600.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$393.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGKRÜ Esports$32.0K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.