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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5

Sports→Closes: 24 daysLiquidity: $130.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $155.4KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
22.0¢
Over
99.9¢
Under
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$21.1K@ 55¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-01 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds combine to score 8 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 1 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $3
6hUnder · $33.9K
24hUnder · $33.9K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current22.0¢
VWAP 24h46.9¢▼ below by 24.9pp
VWAP 7d46.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$7.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$41.3K
40¢
$536
35¢
$3
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$13.0K@ 55.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—24 days ago
BUYUnder$21.1K@ 55.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—24 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.