LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 36 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $930.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $686.4KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:183 trades$49.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 38 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$1.2K·2 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$10.2K@ 44¢·0xc69b…2076

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$6.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.2K
6h
−$5.3K
tracked
$49.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$1.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 36 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 67 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 38 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $4.6K gross
0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $3.9K gross
0x7462…3ac32 linked markets · $2.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $48$83 · 3s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$6.2K
6h$5.3K
24h$5.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h72.0¢▲ above by 27.9pp
VWAP 7d72.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$14.3K
70¢
$100
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$512
55¢
$20.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$10.2K@ 44.0¢0xc69b…2076🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc69b…2076DN SOOPers$10.2K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.