Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?

● quote 1821 min ago

Crypto→Closes: 11 daysLiquidity: $26.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $83.6KEvent: What price will Ethereum hit in August?

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

0.9¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection92Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution16Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:6 trades$41.7K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 1836 min agoofficial metadata 449 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$19.4K@ 97¢·0x751a…9ea1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$39.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$39.4K

tracked

$41.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$1.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 1821 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 1836 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 449 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders paused

Deadline

2026-09-01 04:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Read full resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Recent definition/status changes

TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x1465…70722 linked markets · $70.6K gross

0x06dc…45247 linked markets · $36.2K gross

0xf705…3ca77 linked markets · $34.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$39.4K

6h+$39.4K

24h+$40.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h76.3¢▲ above by 23.6pp

VWAP 7d54.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$19.4K

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