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Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $152.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $577.4KEvent: What price will XRP hit in August?
94.2¢
YES payout
5.8¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $18.3K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$24.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$199.8K@ 100¢·Sharky6999

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Read full resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x06dc…45243 linked markets · $53.7K gross
0xf705…3ca73 linked markets · $39.6K gross
DFV22 linked markets · $11.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $475.2K
6hYES · $541.0K
24hYES · $537.7K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current94.2¢
VWAP 24h99.1¢▼ below by 4.9pp
VWAP 7d97.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$552.1K
90¢
← now
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$1.8K
5¢
$7.8K
0¢
$2.3K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYES$170.5K@ 99.9¢
Rock.San0xba8c…e77d
🐋—4 days ago
BUYYES$99.9K@ 99.9¢
Sharky69990x751a…9ea1
🐋—4 days ago
BUYYES$199.8K@ 99.9¢
Sharky69990x751a…9ea1
🐋—4 days ago
BUYYES$21.4K@ 99.9¢0xf705…3ca7🐋—4 days ago
BUYYES$15.4K@ 98.9¢
duneprod10x9abc…decf
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sharky6999Yes$299.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·2 fills
Rock.SanYes$180.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·3 fills
0xf705…3ca7Yes$21.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x06dc…4524Yes$21.0K
BUY VWAP 97.9¢·4 fills
duneprod1Yes$15.4K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
0x06dc…4524No$11.2K
BUY VWAP 91.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.