LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

● quote 13 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $878.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $715.4KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection43Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets45Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:128 trades$67.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $10.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$16.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G (NO)$19.0K@ 67¢·0xe907…cff6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$28.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$28.6K
6h
−$28.6K
tracked
$67.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$10.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 13 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-07 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 7 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $19.2K gross
0x67b0…89d32 linked markets · $750 gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $99 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$28.6K
6h$28.6K
24h$28.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h26.6¢▼ below by 26.6pp
VWAP 7d26.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$9.8K
30¢
$32.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$12.0K
15¢
$2.9K
10¢
$4.7K
5¢
$766
0¢
← now
$4.3K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYKT Rolster (YES)$11.7K@ 20.0¢0xe100…4d41🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$19.0K@ 67.2¢0xe907…cff6🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$13.4K@ 67.2¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe907…cff6Gen.G$19.1K
BUY VWAP 67.2¢·2 fills
SineNooneEIGen.G$13.4K
BUY VWAP 67.2¢·1 fill
0xe100…4d41KT Rolster$11.7K
BUY VWAP 20.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.