LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

● quote 37 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $794.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $760.4KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets73Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:222 trades$36.8K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$3.5K·3 wallets·$4.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLGD Gaming (YES)$3.5K@ 29¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.4K
6h
+$2.1K
tracked
$36.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$3.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 37 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 44 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 36 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-08 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $5.6K gross
0xe907…cff64 linked markets · $1.3K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $877 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $10.5K$80.2K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$2.4K
6h+$2.1K
24h+$2.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h34.9¢▼ below by 34.9pp
VWAP 7d34.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$172
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.3K
45¢
$3.1K
40¢
$446
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$15.7K
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$2.9K
10¢
$414
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.2K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.