Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

● quote 92 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $218.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $293.4KEvent: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:85 trades$21.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 110 min agoofficial metadata 96 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$507·2 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYXtreme Gaming (YES)$12.0K@ 77¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$4.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.0K
6h
+$7.8K
tracked
$21.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$507 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 92 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 110 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 96 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-03 15:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and Team Resilience in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $2.9K gross
0x63bc…92c52 linked markets · $1.2K gross
0xf3ef…ca6b2 linked markets · $1.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.2pp · near-book depth $400$5 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$4.0K
6h+$7.8K
24h+$7.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h57.7¢▼ below by 57.7pp
VWAP 7d57.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$12.7K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$303
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$607
35¢
$852
30¢
$271
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.1K
0¢
← now
$3.2K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYXtreme Gaming (YES)$12.0K@ 77.0¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf3ce…a57aXtreme Gaming$12.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.