Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 18 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $456.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $788.9KEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:91 trades$60.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$22.5K@ 71¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$6
6h
+$3.9K
tracked
$60.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$22.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -71.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 18 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 42 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-04 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $36.6K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $25.0K gross
0x73f4…158e2 linked markets · $5.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 72.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -65.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $73$403 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$6
6h+$3.9K
24h+$3.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h56.0¢▼ below by 56.0pp
VWAP 7d56.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$22.8K
65¢
$45
60¢
$2.4K
55¢
$11.9K
50¢
$16.7K
45¢
$722
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$17
20¢
$1.0K
15¢
$131
10¢
$0
5¢
$68
0¢
← now
$4.4K

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid (YES)$11.8K@ 57.0¢0xcd66…664f🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$22.5K@ 71.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGTeam Liquid$22.5K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.