LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

● quote 2 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $116.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
25.0¢
YES
75.0¢
NO
8.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:465 trades$441.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $10.0K·4 wallets·$20.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$21.3K@ 63¢·0xe8ad…a859

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$120.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$120.9K
6h
−$169.1K
tracked
$441.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$10.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
8.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 85% · priority 61

Since latest deadline positioning: +22.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Spread is 8.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • Executable BUY price moved 22.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51203 linked markets · $100.3K gross
JaJa6683 linked markets · $61.1K gross
0xf030…12e23 linked markets · $56.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Anyones Legend@ 57.0¢4m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Anyones Legend1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Anyones Legend@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $273$2.6K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$120.9K
6h$169.1K
24h$190.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current25.0¢
VWAP 24h26.5¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d26.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$12.3K
45¢
$12.3K
40¢
$19.5K
35¢
$71.5K
30¢
$20.2K
25¢
← now
$37.2K
20¢
$70.1K
15¢
$53.2K
10¢
$37.9K
5¢
$24.8K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$10.0K@ 85.2¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋33 minutes ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$10.0K@ 85.2¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋33 minutes ago
SELLAnyones Legend (NO)$15.5K@ 77.0¢0xe8ad…a859🐋42 minutes ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$21.3K@ 63.0¢0xe8ad…a859🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$10.0K@ 90.7¢
retroactivesource0x85d5…45ee
🐋about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

five5120Anyones Legend$29.4K
BUY VWAP 85.8¢·3 fills
0xe8ad…a859Anyones Legend$21.3K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
0xf030…12e2Anyones Legend$11.8K
BUY VWAP 78.7¢·5 fills
0x2c33…0563Anyones Legend$10.6K
BUY VWAP 79.1¢·2 fills
0x99ef…ba25Anyones Legend$10.1K
BUY VWAP 68.9¢·2 fills
retroactivesourceAnyones Legend$10.0K
BUY VWAP 90.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.