Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner

● quote 135 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $352.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.1KEvent: Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection81Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:17 trades$3.8K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 183 min agoofficial metadata 139 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLevel UP (NO)$3.1K@ 100¢·0x6e44…21bc

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$3.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.0K
6h
+$3.5K
tracked
$3.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 135 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 183 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 139 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 21:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and Level UP in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 2 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against No Hoodwink. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x6b23…04a32 linked markets · $146 gross
0xca75…05a62 linked markets · $15 gross
0x89ca…e1292 linked markets · $8 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$3.0K
6h+$3.5K
24h+$3.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h8.8¢▼ below by 8.7pp
VWAP 7d8.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$246
55¢
$206
50¢
$8
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$182
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
51.0¢$90.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$79.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.