Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winner

● quote 155 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $228.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $405.2KEvent: Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
2.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$22.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 177 min agoofficial metadata 157 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEintracht Frankfurt (NO)$14.0K@ 35¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$5.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.2K
6h
−$7.8K
tracked
$22.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$14.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 155 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 177 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 157 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between GIANTX and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Map 2 against Eintracht Frankfurt. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt win Map 2 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfdc0…4b852 linked markets · $451 gross
0x2c78…aad12 linked markets · $90 gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $23 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 10.5pp · near-book depth $46 → $248 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$5.2K
6h−$7.8K
24h−$7.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h44.2¢▼ below by 42.2pp
VWAP 7d44.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$14.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$55
50¢
$0
45¢
$8
40¢
$76
35¢
$93
30¢
$11
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.1K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYEintracht Frankfurt (NO)$14.0K@ 35.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
40.5¢$342.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$105.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGEintracht Frankfurt$14.0K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.