PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $331.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $127.0KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
52.5¢
YES
47.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly25Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$47.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$31.4K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$31.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver (YES)$31.6K@ 52¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$318
6h
+$16.3K
tracked
$47.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$31.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 4 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Talvez102 linked markets · $49.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Over@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$318
6h+$16.3K
24h+$16.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d51.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$32.2K
45¢
$15.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYOver (YES)$31.6K@ 51.6¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYUnder (NO)$15.0K@ 50.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
46.5¢$295.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$485.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
20.5¢$419.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
100.0¢$382.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
0.1¢$352.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
64.5¢$285.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
43.5¢$280.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Over$31.6K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462Under$15.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.